Programme
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| Monday, 7 April 2025 | ||
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| 10:30 to 11:45 |
Arrival and registration
Gustav-Stresemann-Institut (GSI) Europäische Tagungs- und Bildungsstätte Bonn Langer Grabenweg 68 53175 Bonn-Bad Godesberg |
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Plenary: Setting the scene
Chair: Magdalena Alonso-Balmaseda, co-chair: Frederic Vitart |
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| 11:45 to 12:00 | Practicalities |
Speaker: Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)
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| 12:00 to 12:10 | Opening |
Speaker: Florence Rabier (ECMWF)
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| 12:10 to 12:40 | On the need to constrain Earth System models using observations |
Speaker: Detlef Stammer (University of Hamburg)
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| 12:40 to 13:00 | ECMWF strategy and research directions |
Speaker: Andy Brown (ECMWF)
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| 13:00 to 13:30 | Forecasting tools for enhanced Decision making in Eastern Africa |
Speaker: Masilin Gudoshava (IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre)
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| 13:30 to 14:00 | Coffee break | |
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Plenary continued
Chair: Antje Weisheimer, co-chair: Linus Magnusson
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| 14:00 to 14:30 | Advancing Weather and Climate Forecasting for Our Changing World |
Speaker: Gilbert Brunet (Former employee of ECCC, BoM and Met Office)
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| 14:30 to 15:00 | Sub-seasonal Prediction: Advances, Challenges and Opportunities |
Speaker: Frederic Vitart (ECMWF)
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| 15:00 to 15:30 | ENSO as a meeting point between weather and climate forecasting |
Speaker: Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)
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| 15:30 to 16:00 | Machine learning as game changer in forecasting: an overview of approaches and applications |
Speaker: Matthew Chantry (ECMWF)
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| 16:00 to 18:30 |
Drinks reception
Federal Ministry for Digital and Transport (BMDV) Robert-Schuman-Platz 1 53175 Bonn |
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Agenda time displays according to the selected time zone.
| Tuesday, 8 April 2025 | ||
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| 07:30 to 08:00 |
Arrival and registration
Gustav-Stresemann-Institut (GSI) Europäische Tagungs- und Bildungsstätte Bonn Langer Grabenweg 68 53175 Bonn-Bad Godesberg |
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Theme 1: Evolving models and data assimilation capabilities
Chair: Nils Wedi, co-chair: Tobias Becker
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| 08:00 to 08:30 | The future of Earth system modelling |
Speaker: Peter Dueben (ECMWF)
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| 08:30 to 09:00 | Advancing km-scale models underpinning the Destination Earth Digital Twins |
Speaker: Benoît Vannière (ECMWF)
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| 09:00 to 09:30 | AI for Climate Modeling: Present and Future |
Speaker: Christopher Bretherton (Allen Institute for Artificial Intelligence (Ai2))
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| 09:30 to 10:00 | Coffee break | |
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Theme 1 continued
Chair: Sarah Keeley, co-chair: Xabier Pedruzo |
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| 10:00 to 10:30 | Ocean heat uptake in the era of eddying ocean models and AI |
Speaker: Alistair Adcroft (Princeton University / NOAA-GFDL)
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| 10:30 to 11:00 | Improving the monitoring of vegetation and drought by land surface models through the assimilation of satellite data |
Speaker: Jean-Christophe Calvet (Meteo-France)
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| 11:00 to 11:30 | Towards Regional High-Resolution Weather Forecasting with Machine Learning |
Speaker: Ivar Seierstad (MET Norway)
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| 11:30 to 13:00 | Lunch and posters | |
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Theme 1 continued
Chair: Massimo Bonavita, co-chair: Katrin Lonitz |
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| 13:00 to 13:30 | Data Assimilation Methodology for Numerical Weather Prediction: A review of significant advancements and prospects for the future |
Speaker: Daryl Kleist (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Environmental Modeling Center)
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| 13:30 to 14:00 | Progress and prospects on coupled data assimilation, for exploitation of interface observations and in support of climate monitoring and weather prediction |
Speaker: Patricia de Rosnay (ECMWF)
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| 14:00 to 14:30 | The ERA6 Reanalysis |
Speaker: Bill Bell (ECMWF)
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| 14:30 to 15:00 | Coffee break | |
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Theme 1 continued
Chair: Patricia de Rosnay, co-chair: Paul Poli |
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| 15:00 to 15:30 | ECMWF’s next ensemble reanalysis system for ocean and sea-ice: ORAS6 |
Speaker: Hao Zuo (ECMWF)
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| 15:30 to 16:00 | Observations: The Noisy Revolution |
Speaker: Tony McNally (ECMWF)
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Agenda displayed in selected time zone
| Wednesday, 9 April 2025 | ||
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| 07:30 to 08:00 |
Arrival and registration
Federal Ministry for Digital and Transport (BMDV) Robert-Schuman-Platz 1 53175 Bonn |
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Theme 2: Serving a future society
Chair: Estibaliz Gascon, co-chair: Eduardo Penabad
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| 08:00 to 08:30 | Services across time scales and Earth system component – an ECMWF perspective |
Speaker: Matthieu Chevallier (ECMWF)
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| 08:30 to 09:00 | Services across time scales and components at MeteoSwiss |
Speaker: Christian M. Grams (Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology, MeteoSwiss)
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| 09:00 to 09:30 | Challenges in transforming traditional weather services to the changing needs of society |
Speaker: Renate Hagedorn (DWD)
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| 09:30 to 10:00 | Coffee break | |
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Theme 2 continued
Chair: Anca Brookshaw, co-chair: Sebastian Milinski |
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| 10:00 to 10:30 | Great potential for S2S applications and services: examples from Europe and Africa |
Speaker: Erik Kolstad (NORCE Norwegian Research Centre)
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| 10:30 to 11:00 | Understanding, predicting and communicating high impact weather events across Africa |
Speaker: Linda Hirons (National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), Department of Meteorology, University of Reading)
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| 11:00 to 11:30 | The Destination Earth Digital Twin for Climate Change Adaptation |
Speaker: Sebastian Milinski (ECMWF)
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| 11:30 to 13:00 | Lunch and posters | |
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Theme 2 continued
Chair: Carlo Buontempo, co-chair: Chiara Cagnazzo |
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| 13:00 to 13:30 | Climate services at a national level and its coordination with Copernicus: the example of Germany |
Speaker: Sarah Jones (Deutscher Wetterdienst)
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| 13:30 to 14:00 | The evolution of climate services and future challenges |
Speaker: Chris Hewitt (World Meteorological Organization)
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| 14:00 to 14:30 | The outlines of IPCC AR7, and challenges for physical sciences |
Speaker: Robert Vautard (IPSL)
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| 14:30 to 15:00 | Coffee break | |
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Theme 2 continued
Chair: Laurence Rouil, co-chair: Richard Engelen |
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| 15:00 to 15:30 | Protecting public health through addressing air pollution and climate action |
Speaker: Dorota Jarosinska (WHO European Centre for Environment and Health)
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| 15:30 to 16:00 | How to better serve the society |
Speaker: Francois Wakenhut (European Commission)
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| 16:00 to 16:30 | TBC | |
| 16:30 to 17:00 |
Speaker: Martin Adams (European Environment Agency )
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Agenda time displays according to the selected time zone.
| Thursday, 10 April 2025 | ||
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| 07:30 to 08:00 |
Arrival and registration
Federal Ministry for Digital and Transport (BMDV) Robert-Schuman-Platz 1 53175 Bonn |
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Theme 3: Changing sources of predictability across time scales
Chair: Chris Roberts, co-chair: Tim Stockdale
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| 08:00 to 08:30 | Perspectives on medium-range predictability – Why does a forecast go wrong? |
Speaker: Linus Magnusson (ECMWF)
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| 08:30 to 09:00 | Tropical-extratropical teleconnections: the role of midlatitude synoptic systems |
Speaker: Julian Quinting (Karlsruhe Institute of Technology)
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| 09:00 to 09:30 | The role of the stratosphere in extended-range prediction |
Speaker: Daniela Domeisen (University of Lausanne / ETH Zurich)
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| 09:30 to 10:00 | Coffee break | |
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Theme 3 continued
Chair: Steffen Tietsche, co-chair: Matthias Aengenheyster |
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| 10:00 to 10:30 | The role of the ocean in predictability at different lead times |
Speaker: Chris Roberts (ECWMF)
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| 10:30 to 11:00 | Some outcomes of extreme event attribution |
Speaker: Pascal Yiou (LSCE, IPSL, France)
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| 11:00 to 11:30 | Frontiers in subseasonal to decadal prediction: A WCRP perspective |
Speaker: Bill Merryfield (ECCC/CCCma)
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| 11:30 to 13:00 | Lunch and posters | |
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Theme 3 continued
Chair: Frederic Vitart, co-chair: Bianca Mezzina |
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| 13:00 to 13:30 | Ensemble forecasting and the representation of uncertainties |
Speaker: Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)
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| 13:30 to 14:00 | Evaluating seasonal forecast improvements over the past two decades |
Speaker: Christopher O'Reilly (University of Reading)
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| 14:00 to 14:30 | Machine-learned weather forecasting with AIFS |
Speaker: Simon Lang (ECMWF)
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| 14:30 to 15:00 | Coffee break | |
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Theme 3 continued
Chair: Mariana Clare, co-chair: Jacob Schloer |
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| 15:00 to 15:30 | Seasonal forecasts in a changing climate |
Speaker: Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF and University of Oxford)
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| 15:30 to 16:00 | Tropical Pacific trends in seasonal hindcasts and implications for predictions of the 2020-2022 triple-dip La Niña |
Speaker: Michael Mayer (ECMWF)
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| 16:00 to 16:30 | Making the impact of climate change on weather and environmental extremes more tangible using storylines |
Speaker: Thomas Jung (AWI)
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| 16:30 to 17:00 | Understanding and Evaluating Trust in AI forecasts |
Speaker: Amy McGovern (University of Oklahoma)
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All times are displayed according to the selected time zone.
| Friday, 11 April 2025 | ||
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| 07:30 to 08:00 |
Arrival and registration
Gustav-Stresemann-Institut (GSI) Europäische Tagungs- und Bildungsstätte Bonn Langer Grabenweg 68 53175 Bonn-Bad Godesberg |
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Plenary: Scoping the future of forecasting
Chair: Linus Magnusson, co-chair: Daniel Befort
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| 08:00 to 08:30 | Seasonal forecasting: models, reanalyses, forcings |
Speaker: Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)
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| 08:30 to 09:00 | Production and use of decadal climate predictions |
Speaker: Francisco Doblas-Reyes
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| 09:00 to 09:30 | Quantifying trends in extreme weather risk using operational ensemble forecasting systems |
Speaker: Myles Allen (University of Oxford)
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| 09:30 to 10:00 | Coffee break | |
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Plenary continued
Moderators: Magdalena Balmaseda, Antje Weisheimer Rapporteur: Frederic Vitart, Linus Magnusson |
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| 10:00 to 10:30 | Exploring the Limit of Predictability with Machine Learning Models |
Speaker: Greg Hakim (University of Washington)
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| 10:30 to 11:30 |
Panel discussion
Panellists:
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