Using ECMWF's Forecasts (UEF2026)

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Monday, 1 June 2026
Registration and opening
13:00 to 14:00 Registration and coffee
14:00 to 14:10 Welcome
Speaker: Umberto Modigliani (ECMWF)
14:10 to 14:20 Housekeeping and theme
Speaker: Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
ECMWF updates
14:20 to 15:30 ECMWF updates

  • FSD plans and products
  • Research plans
  • ML update
  • Model cycles update

Speaker: Eulalie Boucher (ECMWF)
Speaker: Matthieu Chevallier (ECMWF)
Speaker: Michael Sleigh (ECMWF)
Speaker: Tony McNally (ECMWF)
15:30 to 16:00 Coffee break
16:00 to 16:30 Medium-range forecast skill of 2m temperature in the IFS and AIFS
Speaker: Thomas Haiden
16:30 to 17:00 How temperature is forecast at ECMWF
Speaker: Annelize van Niekerk (ECMWF)
Posters
17:00 to 17:15 Poster presentations
17:15 to 18:30 Poster session and drinks reception

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Tuesday, 2 June 2026
Invited speaker
09:00 to 09:40 TBC
Themed Session – Temperature forecasting in Europe and beyond
09:40 to 10:00 How can 2m temperature forecasts possibly go wrong? – an ECMWF perspective
Speaker: Tim Hewson (ECMWF)
10:00 to 10:20 The May 2025 Iceland heatwave: an unprecedented early-season extreme
Speaker: Kristín Hermannsdóttir (Icelandic Met Office)
10:20 to 10:40 Operational management of heat stress and heatwaves in public weather bulletins using ECMWF products in Lombardy
Speaker: Gian Paolo Minardi (ARPA Lombardia)
Speaker: Orietta Cazzuli (ARPA Lombardia)
10:40 to 11:20 Group photo and coffee break
Themed Session – Temperature forecasting in Europe and beyond
11:20 to 11:40 Evaluation of ECMWF 2 m Temperature Forecasts During Extreme Cold Events in Northern Sweden
Speaker: Antonio Fuentes Moreno (SMHI)
11:40 to 12:00 TBC
12:00 to 12:20 Evaluation of Predictability of Coldwave Events in Lesotho Using ECMWF Ensemble Forecasts
Speaker: Rammolenyane Lethaha (Lesotho Meteorological Services)
12:20 to 12:40 TBC
12:40 to 13:00 Evaluation of severe temperature events in the medium-range and sub-seasonal range in the ECMWF Severe Event Catalogue
Speaker: Linus Magnusson (ECMWF)
13:00 to 14:00 Lunch break
Interactive activities
14:00 to 15:00 Interactive Activity: Weather Stations part 1
15:00 to 15:30 Coffee break
15:00 to 17:00 Interactive Activity: Weather Stations part 2
18:30 to 20:30 Event dinner

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Wednesday, 3 June 2026
Themed Session: Forecast to Impact
09:00 to 09:40 Keynote presentation: Title TBC
Speaker: Madeleine Thomson (Wellcome)
09:40 to 10:00 Climate and Environmental Digital Twins for Human Health: Leveraging Earth Observation for Compound Climate and Air Quality Extremes Early Warning
Speaker: Ana Oliveira (CoLAB +ATLANTIC)
10:00 to 10:20 Towards human-centric weather forecasting: heat and cold stress indices at ECMWF
Speaker: Claudia Di Napoli (ECMWF)
10:20 to 10:40 Thermal Trace: health-related weather and climate monitoring
Speaker: Rebecca Emerton (ECMWF)
10:40 to 11:20 Coffee break
Themed Session: Seasonal and Sub-seasonal focus
11:20 to 11:40 Update about the work of Subgroup to Review User Relevant Sub Seasonal Verification
Speaker: Anssi Vähämäki (FMI)
11:40 to 12:00 ECMWF sub-seasonal forecasts in the Swiss national drought warning system: first operational learnings
Speaker: Annie Y.-Y. Chang (MeteoSwiss)
12:00 to 12:20 TBC
12:20 to 13:00 Implementation of SEAS6
Speaker: Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)
13:00 to 14:00 Lunch break
Themed session
14:00 to 14:50 Live Demo: interactive apps for exploring extreme event data
Speaker: Guy Griffiths (University of Reading)
Speaker: James Varndell (ECMWF)
Speaker: Matthew Menary (ECMWF)
Speaker: Rebecca Emerton (ECMWF)
14:50 to 15:20 Coffee break
15:20 to 17:00 User Voice Corner

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Thursday, 4 June 2026
GRIB2 Update and Discussion Session
09:00 to 09:50 GRIB2 – Update and Q&A session
Speaker: Sebastien Villaume (ECMWF)
09:50 to 10:10 Bias correction for surface atmospheric variables using a statistical modelling approach
Speaker: Mahmud Hasan Ghani (CMCC)
10:10 to 10:50 A Novel Member-By-Member Postprocessing Framework for Ensemble Temperature Forecasts
Speaker: Bahram Oghbaei (Ecole de Technologie Superieure)
10:50 to 11:10 Coffee break
Themed Session
11:20 to 11:40 Operational AI Downscaling System and Its Performance in Predicting Extreme Temperatures in Japan during Summer 2025
Speaker: Fuki Kudo (Weathernews Inc.)
Speaker: Jumpei Fujino (Weathernews Inc.)
11:40 to 12:00 AI-Driven Innovation in Temperature Prediction: Anomaly Detection in SYNOP and TAF Forecasts Using ECMWF Products – A Case Study from Jordan
Speaker: Ibrahim Hadyeh (Jordan Meteorological Department)
12:00 to 12:20 Comparing AI and NWP operational forecasts for the energy sector for winter 2025/26
Speaker: Isla Finney (Lake Street Consulting Ltd)
12:20 to 12:40 Medium-Range Temperature Regime Transitions over Montenegro’s Complex Terrain: A Comparison of AI and NWP Forecasts
Speaker: Aleksandar Zecevic (IHMS of Montenegro)
12:40 to 13:00 Comparing AIFS and high-resolution IFS (4.4km) simulations for 2-m temperature extremes: when does the ML model excel and when does resolution matter?
Speaker: Estibaliz Gascon (ECMWF)
13:00 to 14:00 Lunch break
Closing session

Final session

14:00 to 15:00 Interactive session
15:00 to 15:40 Closing speaker
15:40 to 15:50 Event close