Using ECMWF's Forecasts Event (UEF2026)

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Monday, 1 June 2026 Speaker(s)
Registration and opening
Chair: Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
13:00 – 14:00 Registration and coffee
14:00 – 14:10 Welcome
Video recording
Umberto Modigliani (ECMWF)
14:10 – 14:20 Housekeeping and theme
Video recording
Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
ECMWF updates
Chair: Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
14:20 – 15:30 ECMWF updates

  • Model cycles updates
  • Research updates
  • Machine Learning updates
  • Forecasting and services updates


Presentation slides
Video recording
Michael Sleigh (ECMWF)
Tony McNally (ECMWF)
Eulalie Boucher
Matthieu Chevallier (ECMWF)
15:30 – 16:00 Coffee break
16:00 – 16:30 Medium-range forecast skill of 2m temperature in the IFS and AIFS
Presentation slides
Video recording
Thomas Haiden (ECMWF)
16:30 – 17:00 How temperature is forecast at ECMWF
Presentation slides
Video recording
Annelize van Niekerk (ECMWF)
Posters
Chair: Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
17:00 – 17:15 Poster introductions
17:15 – 18:30 Poster session and drinks reception

This session will not be livestreamed


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Tuesday, 2 June 2026 Speaker(s)
Themed Session – Temperature forecasting in Europe and beyond
Chair: Emma Pidduck (ECMWF)
09:30 – 09:50 How can 2m temperature forecasts possibly go wrong? – an ECMWF perspective
Presentation slides
Video recording
Tim Hewson (ECMWF)
09:50 – 10:10 The May 2025 Iceland heatwave: an unprecedented early-season extreme
Presentation slides
Video recording
Kristín Hermannsdóttir (Icelandic Met Office)
10:10 – 10:30 Operational management of heat stress and heatwaves in public weather bulletins using ECMWF products in Lombardy
Presentation slides
Video recording
Gian Paolo Minardi (ARPA Lombardia)
10:30 – 10:50 Evaluation of ECMWF 2 m Temperature Forecasts During Extreme Cold Events in Northern Sweden
Presentation slides
Video recording
Antonio Fuentes Moreno (SMHI)
10:50 – 11:00 Group photo
11:00 – 11:30 Coffee break
Themed Session – Temperature forecasting in Europe and beyond
Chair: Umberto Modigliani (ECMWF)
11:30 – 11:50 The Exceptional UK Heat Wave of May 2026



Presentation slides
Video recording
Dan Suri (Met Office)
11:50 – 12:10 Medium-Range Temperature Regime Transitions over Montenegro’s Complex Terrain: A Comparison of AI and NWP Forecasts
Presentation slides
Video recording
Aleksandar Zecevic (IHMS of Montenegro)
12:10 – 12:30 Monitoring and forecasting marine heatwaves at MOi
Presentation slides
Video recording
Amélie Loubet (Mercator Ocean International)
12:30 – 13:00 Evaluation of severe temperature events in the medium-range and sub-seasonal range in the ECMWF Severe Event Catalogue
Presentation slides
Video recording
Linus Magnusson (ECMWF)
13:00 – 14:00 Lunch break
Interactive activities
14:00 – 15:00 Interactive Activity: Weather Stations part 1

This session will not be livestreamed

15:00 – 15:30 Coffee break
15:30 – 17:00 Interactive Activity: Weather Stations part 2

This session will not be livestreamed

18:30 – 20:30 Event dinner

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Wednesday, 3 June 2026 Speaker(s)
Themed Session: Forecast to Impact
Chair: Stijn Vermoote (ECMWF)
09:30 – 10:10 Keynote presentation: Climate Services for Health, a critical part of Wellcomes vision to support science to solve the urgent health challenges facing everyone
Presentation slides
Video recording
Madeleine Thomson (Wellcome)
10:10 – 10:30 Climate and Environmental Digital Twins for Human Health: Leveraging Earth Observation for Compound Climate and Air Quality Extremes Early Warning
Presentation slides
Video recording
Ana Oliveira (CoLAB +ATLANTIC)
10:30 – 10:50 Operational national Early Warning heat wave : example of collaboration between health and climate sectors in Senegal

Online presentation


Presentation slides
Video recording
Ousmane Ndiaye (African Center of Meteorological Applications for Development (ACMAD))
10:50 – 11:10 Coffee break
11:10 – 11:30 Towards human-centric weather forecasting: heat and cold stress indices at ECMWF
Presentation slides
Claudia Di Napoli (ECMWF)
11:30 – 11:50 Thermal Trace: health-related weather and climate monitoring
Presentation slides
Video recording
Rebecca Emerton (ECMWF)
Themed Session: Seasonal and Sub-seasonal focus
Chair: Frédéric Vitart (ECMWF)
11:50 – 12:10 Update about the work of Subgroup to Review User Relevant Sub Seasonal Verification
Presentation slides
Video recording
Anssi Vähämäki (FMI)
12:10 – 12:30 ECMWF sub-seasonal forecasts in the Swiss national drought warning system: first operational learnings
Presentation slides
Video recording
Annie Y.-Y. Chang (MeteoSwiss)
12:30 – 13:00 Implementation of SEAS6
Presentation slides
Video recording
Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)
13:00 – 14:00 Lunch break
Live demonstration and User Voice Corner
Chair: Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
14:00 – 14:50 Live Demo: interactive apps for exploring extreme event data
Presentation slides
Guy Griffiths (University of Reading)
Matthew Menary (ECMWF)
Sebastian Milinski (ECMWF)
Rebecca Emerton (ECMWF)
14:50 – 15:20 Coffee break
15:20 – 15:50 Overview of User Voice Corner Survey
Presentation slides
Video recording
Tim Hewson (ECMWF)
15:50 – 17:00 User Voice Corner Breakout Groups

This session will not be livestreamed.


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Thursday, 4 June 2026 Speaker(s)
GRIB2 Update and Q&A
Chair: Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
09:30 – 10:20 GRIB2 – Update and Q&A session
Presentation slides
Video recording
Sebastien Villaume (ECMWF)
Themed session - Innovation in temperature prediction
Chair: Matthieu Chevallier (ECMWF)
10:20 – 10:40 Bias correction for surface atmospheric variables using a statistical modelling approach
Presentation slides
Video recording
Mahmud Hasan Ghani (CMCC)
10:40 – 11:00 A Novel Member-By-Member Postprocessing Framework for Ensemble Temperature Forecasts

Online presentation


Presentation slides
Video recording
Bahram Oghbaei (Ecole de Technologie Superieure)
11:00 – 11:40 Coffee break
Themed Session - Innovation in temperature prediction
Chair: Matthieu Chevallier (ECMWF)
11:40 – 12:00 Operational AI Downscaling System and Its Performance in Predicting Extreme Temperatures in Japan during Summer 2025
Presentation slides
Video recording
Fuki Kudo (Weathernews Inc.)
Jumpei Fujino (Weathernews Inc.)
12:00 – 12:20 AI-Driven Innovation in Temperature Prediction: Anomaly Detection in SYNOP and TAF Forecasts Using ECMWF Products – A Case Study from Jordan

Online presentation


Presentation slides
Video recording
Ibrahim Hadyeh (Jordan Meteorological Department)
12:20 – 12:40 Comparing AI and NWP operational forecasts for the energy sector for winter 2025/26
Presentation slides
Isla Finney (Lake Street Consulting Ltd)
12:40 – 13:00 Comparing AIFS and high-resolution IFS (4.4km) simulations for 2-m temperature extremes: when does the ML model excel and when does resolution matter?
Presentation slides
Video recording
Estibaliz Gascon (ECMWF)
13:00 – 14:00 Lunch break
Closing session

Final session

Chair: Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
14:00 – 14:20 About the new curvature diagnostic CURV and some of its uses
Presentation slides
Video recording
Nigel Roberts (Met Office UK)
14:20 – 14:40 Harnessing Geo-Spatial Layers and AI for Extreme Heat Preparedness
Presentation slides
Video recording
Stephanie Rees (Google)
14:40 – 15:20 Introducing WEFEX: Forecasting Extreme Weather Risks Across Europe



Presentation slides
Video recording
Kristian Nielsen (The World Energy & Meteorology Council (WEMC))
15:20 – 15:30 Closing remarks
Video recording
Umberto Modigliani (ECMWF)
Close with coffee