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Tuesday, 27 June 2023
08:30 to 09:30 Opening
08:30 to 09:15 Arrival and registration
09:15 to 09:30 Opening remarks
Video recording
Speaker: Florian Pappenberger (ECMWF)
09:30 to 14:00 Session 1: AR Recon in Water Year 2023 - Part I

Moderator: David Lavers (ECMWF)

09:30 to 10:00 AR Recon Motivation and Achievements
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Marty Ralph (CW3E)
10:00 to 10:20 US Air Force Reserve Command Perspective on AR Recon: Past, Present, and Future
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Ryan Rickert (53 WRS Hurricane Hunters)
10:20 to 10:40 AR Recon 2023 Airborne Radio Occultation (ARO) Observations in Zonal ARs and Cutoff Lows
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Jennifer Haase (Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD)
10:40 to 11:10 Group photo and coffee break
11:10 to 11:25 Mesoscale Analysis of Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers in California during December 2022 and January 2023
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Brian Kawzenuk (Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes)
11:25 to 11:45 Impacts of Long-Duration Weather Balloon Observations on North American Forecasts
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Todd Hutchinson (WindBorne Systems)
11:45 to 12:00 Overview of US West Coast Observations: Radiosondes and Ground-Based Hydrometeorological Networks
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Anna Wilson (Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD)
12:00 to 12:30 Discussion
Video recording
12:30 to 14:00 Lunch break
14:00 to 15:30 Session 2: AR Recon in Water Year 2023 - Part II

Moderator: Anna Wilson (Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes)

14:00 to 14:15 NOAA G-IV Status Review
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Richard Henning (NOAA Aircraft Operations Center)
14:15 to 14:30 Diagnosing Forecast Sensitivity of Atmospheric Rivers Using an Adjoint
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: James Doyle (Naval Research Laboratory)
14:30 to 15:00 Application of Ensemble Sensitivity during the 2022/2023 AR-Recon Season
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Ryan Torn (University at Albany, SUNY)
15:00 to 15:30 Importance of AR Recon Observations to Water Management
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Cary Talbot (US Army Corps of Engineers)
15:30 to 16:00 Discussion
Video recording
16:00 to 16:30 Break
16:30 to 18:30 Session 3: Poster session
Location: Weather Room
16:30 to 18:30 Reception and poster session

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Wednesday, 28 June 2023
09:15 to 09:30 Welcome

09:20 to 09:30 Welcome to day 2
Speaker: Marty Ralph (CW3E)
09:30 to 14:00 Session 4: Modeling, DA and Impact Studies - Part I

Moderator: Jon Rutz (Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes)

09:30 to 10:00 NOAA Aircraft AR support: now and future
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Nancy Hann (NOAA)
10:00 to 10:30 Unifying Targeted Aircraft Reconnaissance Observations for Improving Atmospheric River and Winter Storm Forecasts
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Vijay Tallapragada (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC)
10:30 to 10:50 Impact of Dropsonde Data on NCEP Operational GFS Forecasts from 2022-2023 Atmospheric River Reconnaissance
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Xingren Wu (Axiom at EMC/NCEP/NOAA)
10:50 to 11:05 Coffee break
11:05 to 11:25 Atmospheric River Analysis and Forecast System (AR-AFS): Atmospheric River Reconnaissance 2023 Dropsonde Data Impact Study
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Keqin Wu (Lynker at ECM/NCEP/NOAA)
11:25 to 11:45 Sub-Seasonal Prediction skill of GEFSv12 for Atmospheric Rivers and Associated Precipitation Forecasts over the U.S. West Coast
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Murali Nageswara Rao Malasala (NOAA)
11:45 to 12:15 Improving Sampling Strategies for Atmospheric River Reconnaissance
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Luca Delle Monache (CW3E/SIO/UCSD)
12:15 to 12:30 A Review of AR RECON Modeling, DA and Impact Studies at the U. S. Naval Research Laboratory
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Carolyn Reynolds (Naval Research Laboratory)
Speaker: James Doyle (Naval Research Laboratory)
12:30 to 13:30 Lunch break
13:30 to 17:00 Session 5: Modeling, DA and Impact Studies - Part II

Moderator: Xingren Wu (NOAA/National Centers for Environmental Prediction/Environmental Modeling Center)

13:30 to 14:00 The Utility of a Two-dimensional Forward Model for Bending Angle Observations in Regions with Strong Horizontal Gradients
Speaker: Michael Murphy (GMAO, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center)
14:00 to 14:20 Observing System Experiments for the 2023 AR Recon Season
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: David Lavers (ECMWF)
14:20 to 14:30 Special presentation
Video recording
14:30 to 15:00 ARO at ECMWF: current activities and future plans
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Sean Healy (ECMWF)
15:00 to 15:45 ECMWF 48r1 celebration
15:45 to 16:30 The World Weather Research Programme: Activities and Plans Relevant to AR Recon
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Chris Davis (National Center for Atmospheric Research)
16:30 to 17:00 Ocean surface and subsurface measurements for AR Recon and subseasonal AR predictability
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Timothy Higgins (University of Colorado Boulder)
Speaker: Aneesh Subramanian (University of Colorado Boulder)
19:00 to 22:00 Workshop dinner
19:00 to 22:00 Bel and the Dragon, Reading town centre

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Thursday, 29 June 2023
10:00 to 10:05 Welcome
10:00 to 10:05 Welcome to day 3
Speaker: Vijay Tallapragada (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC)
10:05 to 14:00 Session 6: Scientific Advances in Physical Process Understanding

Moderator: Sam Bartlett (Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes)

10:05 to 10:35 Precipitation efficiencies in a climatology of extratropical cyclones
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Helen Dacre (University of Reading)
10:35 to 11:05 The effects of diabatic heating in WCBs on jet stream perturbations and predictability
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: John Methven (University of Reading)
11:05 to 11:35 The North Atlantic Waveguide, Dry Intrusion, and Downstream Impact Campaign (NAWDIC)
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Christian Grams (IMK-TRO, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology)
11:35 to 12:00 Aircraft dropsonde observation of atmospheric rivers associated with tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Kazuhisa Tsuboki (Nagoya University)
12:00 to 12:30 Discussion
12:30 to 14:00 Lunch break
14:00 to 15:30 Session 7: The Future of AR Recon

Moderator: David Lavers (ECMWF)

14:00 to 15:45 Panel discussion on new directions and closing remarks

  • Marty Ralph, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes
  • Vijay Tallapragada NOAA/National Centers for Environmental Prediction/Environmental Modeling Center
  • Florian Pappenberger, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts


Video recording

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NAWDIC Workshop 2023, 30 June 2023
09:00 to 15:45 NAWDIC Workshop 2023
Moderator: David Lavers (ECMWF)
09:00 to 09:20 NAWDIC-HALO and NAWDIC-KITcube: Seamless observation strategy from synoptic- to micro-scale
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Christian Grams (IMK-TRO, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology)
09:20 to 09:40 AR Recon and potential collaborations with NAWDIC
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Marty Ralph (CW3E)
09:40 to 10:00 CAPRI - The UK contribution to NAWDIC
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: John Methven (University of Reading)
10:00 to 10:10 French contribution to ground-and airborne measurements of the lower troposphere during NAWDIC
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Julian Quinting (Karlsruhe Institute of Technology)
10:10 to 10:30 U.S. plans for contributions to NAWDIC
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Steven Cavallo (University of Oklahoma)
10:30 to 10:50 Hydrological Perspective
Presentation slides
Video recording
Speaker: Andrew Wade (University of Reading)
10:50 to 11:20 Coffee break
11:20 to 12:30 Breakout Groups (Assigned)

  • Group 1: Atmospheric Rivers
    Moderator: Julian Quinting, Rapporteur: Jim Doyle
  • Group 2: Dry Intrusions
    Moderator: Christian Grams, Rapporteur: Anna Wilson

12:30 to 14:00 Lunch break
14:00 to 15:20 Case Study
15:20 to 15:45 Breakout Groups Report Out and Closing Discussion

Christian Grams (IMK-TRO, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology)